MIGRATION SCENARIO ENGINE
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Migration Scenario Engine Global bilateral migration projections under climate scenarios, 2020–2100
SSP
Scenario
Period
Total
Parquet |
Migrationskorridore
02 Regional Breakdown Origin × Destination matrix — syncs with selected year, SSP & scenario above
Regional Migration Matrix Inter- & intra-regional flows
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Scenario Lab

All five migration scenarios side-by-side. Pick an SSP and a decade — every panel uses the identical scale so you can read the delta between scenarios directly.

Total migration is aggregated to 10‑year decades and 9 macro‑regions. Colors follow the global region palette; arrow direction = destination. Values are in millions of people per decade. Baseline shows only SSP2 (baseline scenario is SSP2‑only in the pipeline).

Corridor Lab

One corridor, all five scenarios at once. Lines = SSP median, ribbons = SSP1‑SSP5 envelope. Reveals both scenario sensitivity and SSP uncertainty for the chosen bilateral pair.

Median across SSP1/SSP2/SSP3/SSP5 per scenario. Ribbon = min/max across SSPs. Domestic corridors (origin = destination) are not modelled.

Hotspot Ranking

Top‑20 countries across all scenarios. Dark cells = large flow. Re‑sort by scenario to see who becomes a hotspot only under certain futures vs. those that are persistent across all five.

Top‑20 by the selected sort column. Values in thousands of people per 5‑year period. Blue = net immigration, red = net emigration. Countries shown with ISO3 + full name. Baseline only covers SSP2 in the pipeline — under other SSPs the baseline column will be empty.
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CSV
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Methodology

How the Migration Scenario Engine works — from raw data to projections.

Data Sources

All datasets used in the Migration Scenario Engine.

Glossary

Key terms and definitions used throughout this platform.